There's a large map in front of you ... We can imagine a world where 538 is combining not two but 20 or more plausible models of the polls and fundamentals, each with their own settings or ...

With a debate and a second assassination attempt in the rearview mirror, the Harris-Trump contest is by any measure too close ...

FiveThirtyEight's poll tracker, which complies the results ... might be more difficult for Harris as the Electoral College map is close. Democrats have won the popular vote in seven of the last ...

Silver, who is the founder of ABC News' poll aggregator FiveThirtyEight and considered ... where different states might land on the election map, the popular vote does not guarantee a win because ...

While it’s still early, there is enough initial polling to suggest that Harris’s strong debate performance did her some ...